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Tag Archives: midterm elections
Majority of New Yorkers Want Continued Democratic Control of the NYS Senate
While polling at the national level for midterm elections has looked grim for Democrats, it looks like the story is more positive at the state level: New York Democrats have had to face a rocky economy and recession-induced budget shortfalls in their first few years as the majority party in the State Senate. But New York voters remember the previous 40 years of GOP control, and according to a new Siena College poll, only 27% of New York voters want to go back: 33%: Want to see Democrats expand their State Senate majority 34%: Prefer the status quo, in which Democrats hold a narrow edge 27%: Want to see Republicans re-take a majority This has to be unwelcome news for State … More >>
This Looks Scary
:/ . Explanation of the generic ballot and relationship to predicting midterms: Throughout the election season, the Pew Research Center and other major polling organizations report a measure that political insiders sometimes call “the generic ballot.” This measure is the percentage of voters in national surveys who say they intend to vote for either the Republican or the Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in their district.* *(If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Republican Party’s candidate or the Democratic Party’s candidate for Congress in your district?) There is no national election for Congress, of course; rather, 435 individual races determine the composition of the House. So while it might … More >>
Tagged congress, midterm elections, poll
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